Author: Richard Heydarian
The US Indo-Pacific Command chief, Samuel Paparo, emphasized the importance of the Mutual Defence Treaty between the US and the Philippines during a recent trip to Manila. Amid rising tensions in the South China Sea, both nations are exploring options for mutual defence and escort of vessels. Paparo stated that the US is prepared to stand shoulder to shoulder with its ally in the event of escalating conflicts with China. Recent clashes between the Philippines and China over strategic features like the Second Thomas Shoal and Sabina Shoal have highlighted the need for increased vigilance. The Philippine coastguard’s flagship vessel…
Both the Obama and Trump administrations brought major disruptions to American foreign policy. Obama’s post-racial vision and pacifist approach emboldened rivals, while Trump’s transactional policies weakened America’s global standing. Biden’s return to a more traditional liberal foreign policy was well received in Asia. However, his administration has struggled to present impactful economic initiatives in the region. The potential for a second Trump presidency raises concerns in Asia due to his aggressive “America First” strategy and protectionist measures. The politicization of American bureaucracy under Trump could hinder competent foreign policy. On the other hand, a Harris presidency may face challenges in…
Perturbed by the possibility of a major escalation, Filipino officials have struggled to maintain a consistent stance. Defence Secretary Gilberto Teodoro Jnr has refuted claims that the recent clash with China was a misunderstanding, emphasizing that it was an aggressive and illegal use of force. While President Marcos has sought a middle ground, refusing to yield to any foreign power, the dithering statements from Philippine officials reflect fears of escalation and doubts about America’s commitment to aid the country. Washington and Manila are facing pressure to upgrade their alliance to prevent further escalations, especially at Second Thomas Shoal. However, historical…
Amidst growing tensions in the South China Sea, Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim emphasized the need to avoid involvement with parties beyond China and ASEAN to prevent complicating the situation. This stance contradicts the Philippines’ strategic orientation of enhancing security cooperation with Western allies to counterbalance China. Asean faces internal divisions, with leaders holding disparate views on geopolitical matters. This hampers efforts to negotiate an effective response to maritime disputes. The recent remarks by Anwar and Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jnr highlight the complex dynamics within the region. Challenges to Asean’s unity include differing strategic priorities, domestic politics, and the…
Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jnr expressed concerns over escalating tensions in the South China Sea, emphasizing the need to avoid conflict. Chinese maritime forces have been using water cannons against Philippine missions, prompting Manila to consider joining an alliance with the US, Australia, and Japan to counter China’s influence. However, this move may threaten the Philippines’ strategic autonomy and strain relationships with ASEAN members. The deadlock between the Philippines and China has worsened, with Manila facing pressure to fortify disputed areas and China leaking details of alleged agreements. The Philippines is seeking increased security cooperation with traditional allies, potentially compromising…