The US election is approaching its climax, with voters set to cast their ballots on November 5. Early voting is already underway in key states like North Carolina and Georgia. As Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican former President Donald Trump vie for the presidency, the national polls currently show Harris leading by a slim margin.
Who is in the lead?
According to FiveThirtyEight’s election poll tracker, Harris holds a 2.4-percentage-point lead over Trump. While the forecast gives Harris a slight edge, the race remains close with swing states playing a pivotal role.
Which states could swing the presidential election?
States like Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin are key battlegrounds. These states could decide the outcome, as seen in the 2020 election when Georgia flipped from red to blue.
What happens if Harris and Trump end in a tie?
In the unlikely event of a tie, a contingent election would be held where the House of Representatives and Senate determine the winner and vice president.
How do polls work?
Polls survey a sample of voters to predict election outcomes. Polls can be conducted via phone, online, or in person, and are aggregated by poll trackers to provide insights.
How accurate are polls?
Polls are not infallible, with recent elections showing underestimated support for Republican candidates. Factors like nonresponse bias and changes in voter turnout can impact poll accuracy.