The Quaest Poll Reveals Surprising Trends for 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election
A recent Quaest poll has shaken up Brazil’s political landscape with intriguing insights for both left and right-wing parties. Lula leads the poll with 32% of voting intentions, followed by influencer Pablo Marçal at 18%, and São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas with 15%. The shift in public opinion towards Lula’s potential re-election bid is significant, with 58% opposing and only 40% supporting.
Pablo Marçal’s rise as a national figure has divided the conservative electorate, garnering 33% support in a hypothetical scenario without Bolsonaro. Marçal’s popularity spans regions, while Tarcísio’s support varies across the country. The survey highlights Lula’s strong base but also his struggle to expand beyond one-third of the electorate.
As Brazil heads towards the 2026 election, Lula faces challenges in improving government approval ratings. Popular measures like income tax exemptions may help but could also have negative economic effects. The emergence of new figures like Marçal adds excitement to the upcoming electoral contest, making the political landscape dynamic and unpredictable.