The Russian government plans to allocate $948 million for one-time payments to individuals signing military contracts with the Russian Ministry of Defense from 2025 to 2027. This financial commitment underscores the Kremlin’s reliance on “crypto-mobilization” to supplement manpower for the ongoing war in Ukraine. Crypto-mobilization involves recruiting smaller reservists alongside conscription and other mobilization efforts. The government offers substantial incentives, with some regions providing payments exceeding $4,200 for signing a military contract. The goal is to recruit 225,000 personnel through contract service, but higher payments may be needed as rates have increased since 2022.
Despite increased incentives, there are limitations on how many recruits crypto-mobilization can generate in the long term. Russian President Vladimir Putin prefers this approach to a full-scale mobilization but may resort to partial mobilization if the situation in Ukraine worsens. The Kremlin remains committed to maintaining operations in Ukraine, considering it strategically crucial. Uncertainty looms over how Russia will respond to future manpower crises. The evolving dynamics in the region demand a close watch on developments.
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