The upcoming US election will have a major impact on the future of Europe, with a Trump win potentially leading to a hostile and messy situation. Brussels is already strategizing on how to handle this outcome, with efforts to charm and compromise with the US. However, there is a real possibility of division and conflict, with Trump using divide-and-rule tactics. The cost of re-arming Europe to match US defense spending is staggering, making it difficult to “Trump-proof” the continent in the short term. Investments in creating a more autonomous EU are estimated to be in the billions, posing a challenge for European budgets. Despite the high costs, these investments are crucial for Europe’s geopolitical future. A mindset shift towards deeper integration in Germany may be necessary to make these investments a reality.
In summary, the outcome of the US election will have far-reaching implications for Europe, with potential challenges and opportunities ahead depending on who wins in November.
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