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Iran’s strategic hesitation as Hezbollah weakens

Iran’s strategic hesitation as Hezbollah weakens

The Israeli military has dealt a significant blow to Hezbollah by eliminating top leaders and damaging key infrastructure. As Iran’s proxy, Hezbollah plays a crucial role in the region, but Iran has remained inactive during the IDF’s attacks. Despite Hezbollah’s relentless rocket launches against Israel, diplomatic efforts to stop the aggression have been fruitless.

Iran’s hesitation may be due to internal crises, including an economic collapse and dwindling resources. The regime faces widespread protests and a legitimacy crisis, making it difficult to support Hezbollah in a direct conflict with Israel. Additionally, fear of Israel’s military superiority and the risk of US involvement further deter Iran from engaging in war.

With Nasrallah’s death, the regime’s strategy may shift, but the challenges at home and the potential consequences of war are likely to prevent any drastic actions. The indirect fight against Israel will continue as the regime navigates complex political and military dynamics.

The writer is a senior fellow at the Philos Project.

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