Israel has reportedly rejected a proposed cease-fire and continues its attacks on alleged missile and weapon sites, disregarding the Biden administration’s diplomatic pleas. The U.S. and Western powers aim to secure a northern cease-fire despite the recent death of Nasrallah. The likelihood of a truce remains uncertain, hinging on Lebanon’s ability to withdraw from certain regions for peace.
The looming question of responsibility post-Nasrallah’s demise raises concerns, particularly around Hezbollah’s influence within Lebanon’s governing factions. Israel looks towards the Lebanese government to uphold stability, yet the association with Hezbollah complicates matters. Tehran’s potential influence on Lebanon’s future decisions further clouds the path to peace.
Israel and France’s joint cease-fire effort, primarily focused on dialogue with the Lebanese government rather than Hezbollah, faces significant hurdles in the absence of clear communication channels within Lebanon. The succession plan for Nasrallah within Hezbollah adds another layer of complexity to the already fragile truce negotiations.