The Israel-Hezbollah conflict has intensified, resulting in Lebanon’s deadliest day since the civil war. More than 560 people were killed by Israeli airstrikes, leading to fears of a full-scale war. Hezbollah vows to keep fighting until a Gaza ceasefire is secured, prompting concerns about instability in the region.
The Impact of Attacks
The explosion of pagers and walkie-talkies in Lebanon and Syria marked a new phase in the conflict. While Israel did not claim responsibility officially, the attacks killed many Hezbollah members and civilians. Expert opinions vary on the strategic impact of these attacks on the balance of power between Israel and Hezbollah.
Effect on Hezbollah
The attacks have weakened Hezbollah’s image, causing disunity and criticism within Lebanon. Despite polarization, the attacks may foster some social cohesion among citizens. However, the conflict could lead to Lebanon being drawn into a war it cannot handle.
US Involvement
Israel’s actions, aimed at escalating tensions with Iran, risk dragging the US into a broader conflict. The Biden administration’s policies in the region may inadvertently contribute to further escalating the situation.
Preventing a Full-Scale War
As the conflict escalates, diplomacy between the US, Iran, and Hezbollah becomes crucial to avoid a catastrophic regional war. Efforts to prevent further escalation and promote peace are needed urgently.
Author: Giorgio Cafiero
Follow him on Twitter: @GiorgioCafiero