In the upcoming municipal elections in Brazil, centrist parties have emerged as frontrunners in over half of the country’s largest cities. Recent polls show that Union Brazil, PSD, and MDB are leading in municipalities with more than 200,000 voters.
According to political scientist Murilo Medeiros from the University of Brasília, a study called “The Electoral Strength of G103” analyzed 103 Brazilian cities with populations exceeding 200,000, where runoff elections are possible. These cities together represent 40% of Brazil’s electorate.
Union Brazil, a merger of PSL and DEM parties, leads in 19 cities, including major capitals like Salvador and regional hubs like Feira de Santana. Jair Bolsonaro’s Liberal Party (PL) is ahead in 15 municipalities, with PSD in 14 cities. Surprisingly, the Workers’ Party (PT) is lagging, leading in only four cities.
The dominance of centrist parties signifies a shift away from previous polarization in Brazilian politics. Voters are prioritizing local issues over broader ideological debates. As the municipal elections draw closer, it is evident that centrist parties are gaining ground while traditional powerhouses face challenges in connecting with urban voters.
Centrist Parties Lead Mayoral Races in Brazil’s Largest Cities
Despite PT’s struggles and the changing political landscape, Brazil’s municipal elections are shaping up to be a dynamic and complex affair.