Putin Urged to Leverage Re-Election for New Mobilization

In preparation for his fifth presidential inauguration, Russian Ministry of Defense officials proposed a new mobilization to offset losses in Ukraine. Putin, however, insisted on sending only volunteers, signing a decree to increase active troop numbers by 180,000. The Kremlin cited “threats” and Western hostility as reasons for the expansion, making Russia the world’s second-largest military force. Despite military shortages, Putin declined further mobilization after previous issues led to protests. Concerns over NATO’s eastern flank have been raised, with Russia allegedly covertly mobilizing 30,000 troops monthly. While Russia’s 1.5 million troops face NATO’s 3.2 million at full force, the immediate risk to the West is low. Most Russian troops are engaged in Ukraine, with Putin estimating nearly 700,000 troops involved. Despite previous denials, the WSJ report contradicts Kremlin statements. With Western sanctions impacting supply chains, conventional warfare threats remain minimal. NATO’s readiness against Russian threats exceeded expectations, but “capabilities gaps” suggest partial preparedness. With ongoing discussions in Russian military leadership, the future remains uncertain.

In summary, the escalating tensions between Russia and NATO, coupled with ongoing military developments, highlight the complex geopolitical landscape and potential security implications posed by Russia’s troop expansion and mobilization strategies.

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