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Is Libya’s fragile peace at risk of another civil war?

Is Libya’s fragile peace at risk of another civil war?

Libya is facing a precarious situation as the threat of violence looms, endangering the fragile peace that has been maintained since a UN-brokered ceasefire in 2020. Recent clashes in Tajoura and Qali Bulla have resulted in casualties, escalating tensions in the region.

The country, divided between rival governments in the west and east, is struggling to find unity. The actions of military factions and foreign powers like Turkey, UAE, Russia, and Egypt play a significant role in determining Libya’s future. Despite efforts to promote elections and bridge internal divides, corruption and power struggles continue to hinder progress.

Foreign intervention, which both exacerbated conflict and prevented chaos, remains crucial in shaping Libya’s direction. While a full-scale war may be avoided, the risk of heightened clashes and political chaos persists. The need for direct diplomacy and international cooperation is essential to prevent further instability in the region.

With the situation remaining fluid, Libya stands at a critical juncture that requires careful management and engagement to avoid a descent into chaos and violence.

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