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China offers submarines to Indonesia amid geopolitical calculations

China offers submarines to Indonesia amid geopolitical calculations

After reports surfaced about Indonesia’s interest in buying Chinese-made missile systems, the CSSC executives visited the country to discuss potential deals. This move aligns with Indonesia’s plan to modernize its military under the Minimum Essential Force (MEF) blueprint. Despite past minor purchases from China, Jakarta has been cautious in developing a defense partnership with Beijing. The potential purchase of submarines marks a shift in Indonesia’s defense ties with China, as the country aims to diversify its defense imports from various suppliers.

Chinese strategic nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine

The potential defense deal with China could signify a shift in Indonesia’s security ties, which have historically leaned towards the West. Despite China’s economic partnership, Indonesia values its defense cooperation with Western countries. Concerns about interoperability and the quality of Chinese submarines raise doubts about the feasibility of the deal.

Geopolitical Balance

China’s push for closer defense ties with Indonesia could impact the Indo-Pacific region and Indonesia’s strategic decisions. Maritime disputes and concerns about China’s actions in the South China Sea influence Indonesia’s defense procurement decisions.

Indonesian naval officers during naval exercise

The rise of Prabowo in Indonesian politics could lead to a focus on military modernization, with planned expansions and discussions with foreign partners. Despite high-level exchanges with China, Indonesia is expected to maintain its close defense ties with Western nations under Prabowo’s leadership, albeit with some unpredictability in policy decisions.

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