Recent events in Majdal Shams have left Israel with a decision to make: retaliate against Iran, Hezbollah, or Lebanon. The prospect of diplomatic solutions is also on the table, with the possibility of enforcing UN Security Council Resolution 1701 to prevent further conflict.
While the chances of success are slim, Israel still holds out hope for a peaceful resolution. However, if diplomacy fails, the country must consider who to target in response to the attacks.
Hezbollah, Lebanon, and Iran are all potential targets for retaliation. Striking Hezbollah may not be conclusive, as the organization can easily replenish its resources. Targeting Lebanon’s infrastructure could turn the Lebanese population against Hezbollah. Attacking Iran poses the risk of a wider regional war, but may be necessary to prevent Iran’s aggressive behavior.
The options of diplomacy or war are not mutually exclusive. Israel could demonstrate its resolve by taking action against all three targets to show its seriousness in resolving the conflict.
Ultimately, the decision lies with Israel’s leaders on how to proceed in the aftermath of the Majdal Shams tragedy.