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Why is Philippines’ Duterte changing his stance on Beijing in SCS?

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During his term, Duterte emphasized the importance of diplomatic talks in resolving maritime disputes, working to mend ties with Beijing while distancing from the US. Analysts suggest his shift is a strategic move to gain favor amid family members’ Senate election bids.

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Chinese coastguard personnel hold knives and machetes as they approach Philippine troops on a resupply mission in the South China Sea. Photo: AP

A recent survey showed Filipino support for a tough stance on China’s maritime activities, contrasting Duterte’s previous pro-China position. Analysts believe Duterte’s change is driven by family interests and political strategy.

Newly-elected Vice President Sara Duterte and newly-elected President Ferdinand Marcos Jnr during the inauguration ceremony at the National Museum in Manila in 2022. Photo: Reuters

Analysts also discuss the implications of Duterte’s foreign policy shifts on relations with the US and China, highlighting the complex dynamics in the West Philippine Sea.

Challenging China’s actions

At a recent event, former Justice Carpio urged the Philippines to pursue new arbitration cases against China over maritime disputes. Meanwhile, Marcos Jnr’s administration reaffirms its commitment to defending national sovereignty against Chinese incursions.

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