French Politics Won’t Get Less Complicated After Election
Sputnik International
After a surprising defeat of centrist parties in European elections, French President Emmanuel Macron has called for snap elections. However, the upcoming elections are unlikely to result in a stable government.
Macron hoped for a higher turnout in National Assembly elections to support centrist parties and stop the rise of the National Rally led by Marine Le Pen, but recent polls suggest that outcome is unlikely. With no clear majority in sight, the drama in French politics is far from over.
George Szamuely, a senior research fellow, explained that it is improbable for any political group to secure a majority of votes, leading to difficulty in forming a stable government.
A new leftist coalition, the New Popular Front, poses a significant threat to Macron’s centrist coalition. Macron’s attempts to court the left might not be successful due to policy differences and fear of a defeat by the New Popular Front and the National Rally.
National Assembly elections in France operate on a run-off system, adding complexity to the political landscape. With the National Rally leading in polls, Macron’s party faces tough competition in the upcoming elections.
Despite potential losses, Macron vows to complete his term, but the future of French politics remains uncertain. The possibility of a cohabitation government with disagreements looming complicates the country’s governance.
As uncertainty prevails, Bardella’s refusal to become Prime Minister without a majority further adds to the complexity of French politics.
In conclusion, French politics are set to remain intricate and tumultuous in the foreseeable future.