The European election campaign is nearing its end, with the vote scheduled for Sunday, June 9. According to an IPSOS poll for Le Monde, the race remains open and dynamic, with far-right candidate Jordan Bardella leading with 32% of voting intentions. President Macron’s coalition candidate, Valérie Hayer, has seen a drop in support to 15%, closely followed by Raphaël Glucksmann at 14.5%. The gap between the two candidates is the narrowest it has ever been.
Further down, the radical left party La France Insoumise and the conservatives of Les Républicains are also in the running, while the far-right Reconquête! party and the Greens list are at risk of falling below the 5% threshold needed to win seats. Hesitant voters could still influence the final outcome, with the potential for shifts in support.
The Greens, in particular, remain uncertain, with 40% of potential voters still undecided. Their second choices lean towards Glucksmann and Aubry. The competition is fierce, with every point in voting intentions making a significant difference in the composition of the French delegation to the European Parliament.