Should Ukraine deploy Western weapons on Russian soil?

Understanding Olaf Scholz’s Hesitation: Debunking Misconceptions About Russia’s Foreign Policy

Germany, along with politicians from various countries and experts, exhibits hesitancy towards confronting Russia due to a misunderstanding of Moscow’s international behavior. Russia’s current foreign policy revolves around achieving perceived successes that can be celebrated among its population. Despite being an authoritarian regime, Russia relies on support from its elites and citizens. Past military aggressions, such as those in Georgia, Syria, and Ukraine, have been perceived as successful endeavours, garnering popularity among the Russian population.

Concerns around potential dangers, such as an all-European and nuclear war, persist. However, historical instances, like the response to Turkey shooting down a Russian fighter bomber in 2015, showcase the malleability of tensions. The possibility of Putin orchestrating attacks with civilian casualties on Russian soil as a tactic cannot be dismissed, highlighting the need for nuanced responses.

Exploring Potential Game Changers in the War

US Secretary of State Blinken’s suggestion of American flexibility in using Western weapons in Russia could signify a pivotal shift. However, a comprehensive strategy involving weapon delivery, economic sanctions, and NATO involvement would be crucial in altering the war’s course and prompting meaningful peace negotiations.

Andreas Umland, an analyst at the Stockholm Centre for Eastern European Studies, sheds light on the complexities surrounding Russia’s foreign policy.

Opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the author.