Chinese study predicts 50% expansion of Tibetan lakes by 2100

Chinese scientists have predicted a significant increase in the surface area of endorheic lakes on the Tibetan Plateau by 2100, even under a low-emissions scenario. This expansion could have a profound impact on the region, with water levels expected to rise by 10 meters. The scientists warn that without mitigation efforts, roads, settlements, and ecological components could become submerged, affecting the livelihoods of local communities.

The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, known as the “Water Tower of Asia,” is particularly vulnerable to climate change, making it an important area for studying the effects of global warming. While other large lakes worldwide are experiencing a decline in water storage, lakes on the plateau have been expanding due to warmer and wetter conditions.

The team’s simulation model projects a twofold increase in total lake area in the northern part of the plateau, with significant expansions expected in other regions as well. This expansion could lead to economic losses and disruptions to infrastructure and ecosystems.

Efforts to mitigate the impact of expanding lakes are essential to safeguard the region’s socio-economic stability and environment. The study serves as a guide for future planning and highlights the urgent need for adaptation and sustainable management strategies.