As Myanmar braces for the approaching monsoon season, the junta and the resistance are locked in a race against time to make strategic gains. The monsoon clouds that roll across the country around early June pose a challenge to the military, limiting their air power advantage on multiple front lines. Vital trade and military outposts, including Myawaddy and Rakhine region in the west, are key battlegrounds.
The junta faces significant battlefield defeats and economic struggles, losing control of military positions and territory. The looming monsoon may further weaken their grip on borderlands with neighboring countries. Despite the challenges, the junta retains firepower to prolong the conflict.
The resistance, buoyed by recent victories, aims to consolidate and coordinate efforts. The coming months will be crucial in shaping the outcome of the conflict in Myanmar. Strategic coordination among diverse ethnic armies will be key to tipping the scales.
With military defectors and collapsing morale within the junta, the rains may favor the momentum of the resistance. The junta’s control is tenuous, even in major cities. The battle for Myanmar’s future intensifies as the monsoon looms.